Polly Adapts to Changing Environment

Polly Adapts to Changing Environment

Since Polly first started her Super Tuesday examinations,  her forecasts have been influenced by two significant developments: Pete Buttigieg dropped out and endorsed Joe BidenAmy Klobuchar dropped out and endorsed Joe Biden  These changes had an impact on...
Nevada Caucuses Important Test for Democrats

Nevada Caucuses Important Test for Democrats

The Nevada Democratic caucuses will wrap up this Saturday with a final tally of the votes cast earlier during the week. Nevada is significant because it is the first state to be tallied that has a diverse population. New Hampshire and Iowa are primarily (more than...
New Hampshire Primaries: Any Surprises?

New Hampshire Primaries: Any Surprises?

Tonight’s the night for New Hampshire democrats. What kind of night will it be for the Dems’ candidates? After the Iowa caucus fiasco, will there be a clear winner this time around? Well, Polly has no trouble picking a winner. Using a sample of more than 12,000...
Polly predicts Sanders will take Iowa caucus

Polly predicts Sanders will take Iowa caucus

Polly has looked at the Iowa caucuses and has predicted a Bernie Sanders victory mostly due to a shift in voters towards Elizabeth Warren, at the expense of support for Joe Bidden. When looking at the forecast numbers, the story isn’t between Sanders and Biden...