Iowa farmhouse

Battleground: Iowa

asiadmin | October 26, 2020  | Politics | No Comments

Iowa is a perfect example of a battleground state: over the last more than 50 years as many Republicans as Democrats have received Iowa’s 6 electoral college votes. And the races have almost always been tight; the last presidential candidate to win a decisive majority was Lyndon B. Johnson following the assassination of Democrat John F. Kennedy in 1964.

According to the US Census bureau, Iowa is more than 90% white with a small percentage (3.51%) African American. Iowa, with a population of 3.17 million in 2020, is mostly rural, with a population of at least 21 millions pigs and 67 millions chickens. The largest city in Iowa is Des Moines with a population of a little more than 214,000.

Polly notes that Iowa started of the presidential campaign leaning toward Donald Trump’s Republicans. They’ve never been far about but since October 8th, Joe Biden has been favored over the incumbent. What happened on October the 8th?

On October 8, 2020, the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) announced the arrests of 13 suspects accused of plotting to kidnap Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan, two states away from Iowa, and otherwise violently overthrow the state government. Some other states saw movement in the direction opposite to the trend on October 8th so it’s safe to conclude that the FBI announcement had a ripple effect in voter sentiment. In Arizona it boosted the Republicans while in Iowa, the state became more Democrat.

All in all, Iowa — while the Democrats’ lead is trending towards Joe Biden, according to Polly the numbers are too small to call Iowa a blue state. Tomorrow’s numbers should reveal whether this will continue to be a rollercoaster ride for the Dems, or a fall off a cliff.

Photo by Kelcy Gatson on Unsplash

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