Canadian Federal Election Prediction
Polly’s predicted outcome of the next Canadian federal election. Above is the average seat counts, as well as the lower and upper limits at the 95% confidence interval. Below is the seat distribution by geographic region. Each dot represents one seat (placement within the region is arranged by party). Parties are shown when they have a greater than 25% chance of winning a seat; when multiple parties meet that criteria in a riding, the riding is considered a “swing” riding and shows all the competing Parties’ colours.