Canadian Federal Election Prediction

Canadian Federal Election Prediction


Polly’s predicted outcome of the next Canadian federal election. Above is the average seat counts, as well as the lower and upper limits at the 95% confidence interval. Below is the seat distribution by geographic region. Each dot represents one seat (placement within the region is arranged by party). Parties are shown when they have a greater than 25% chance of winning a seat; when multiple parties meet that criteria in a riding, the riding is considered a “swing” riding and shows all the competing Parties’ colours.