Trump slowly losing ground
asiadmin | October 16, 2020 | Uncategorised | 18 Comments
Slowly, by fractions of a percentage point, Biden keeps gaining ground. Up by a mere 0.3% — one third of a percentage point — Biden managed to gain 7 electoral college votes overnight. Talk of Kamala Harris, lockdowns and election integrity continue to be a concern of the Republicans but not to the same degree it was last week. Like freshly poured concrete, positions are starting to lose their fluidity as people shift from red to blue and places in between.
At this point, 19 days away from one of America’s most important and historic elections, Trump needs to win another 85 electoral college votes in order to return to the White House in 2021 — an enormous gap to fill. Unfortunately for the Republicans, Trump is trending in the wrong direction. Deep red states like West Virginia, Wyoming and Montana have nudged a bit towards the blue or remained flat while swing states like Florida and Wisconsin have largely stayed on the Democrat side.
States like Virginia, New Mexico have been neck-and-neck since early October but are showing movement towards the Democrats.
It’s worth noting at this point that Polly’s been sampling the same sample of 287,782 Americans; many pollsters use random samples and sample sizes and sometimes mixed polling methods (phone/web/self-reporting, etc). This allows Polly to dive deeper and with more confidence.
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